This is a great station activity for the common core strand statistics and probability. Students must find probabilities, compare them to observed frequencies, and account for any discrepancies. This assures that when, for example, they are asked to use a probability model to solve a problem, they will know exactly what to do. This can also be used as a classwork or homework assignment.
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Develop a probability model and use it to find probabilities of events. Compare probabilities from a model to observed frequencies; if the agreement is not good, explain possible sources of the discrepancy.
Develop a uniform probability model by assigning equal probability to all outcomes, and use the model to determine probabilities of events. For example, if a student is selected at random from a class, find the probability that Jane will be selected and the probability that a girl will be selected.
Middle School Math Stations and Games - "Three of a Kind" Probability Models
by Kimberly Wasylyk
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