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# Probability Carnival

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This activity helps students to apply and understand the differences between theoretical and experimental probabilities by setting up and running a "carnival" in their classroom. Either individually or with a partner, students must carefully plan and design their games, determine what the theoretical probability of winning would be (if they have multiple levels that can be beaten, then they must figure the probability of reaching each level), and decide on appropriate prizes. Once they have finished designing and creating their games, they will invite another class to attend their carnival, during which they must track wins and losses so that they can determine experimental probability afterwards. When the carnival is over and the probabilities have been figured, students will be asked to reflect on things that could have affected their results.
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5 pages
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