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Survival Simulation - Probability Modeling Project (Compound & Conditional)
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Description

Bring probability to life with survival scenarios!
Students create branching outcomes for survival decisions, model compound and conditional probability, simulate results using Desmos, dice, or digital tools, and compare experimental vs. theoretical probabilities.

What’s Included:

  • Survival Simulation Student Guide
  • Teacher Guide with pacing, rubric, standards
  • Editable Rubric + Submission Deck

Skills:

  • Build tree diagrams and models
  • Apply compound and conditional probability
  • Compare theoretical vs. experimental results
  • Communicate findings through PSAs or infographics

Unsure? Try the free starter project that relates to this project. Perfect for sub days!

Keywords: probability project, compound probability lesson, conditional probability activity, survival math simulation, experimental vs theoretical probability, student ownership

Report this resource to TPT
Reported resources will be reviewed by our team. Report this resource to let us know if this resource violates TPT's content guidelines.

Survival Simulation - Probability Modeling Project (Compound & Conditional)

theProjectedClassroom
12 Followers
$8.00

Highlights

Digital downloads
Grades icon
Grades
7th - 12th
Subjects icon
Subjects
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Standards
Answer Key
Rubric only
Teaching Duration
1 Week

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Description

Bring probability to life with survival scenarios!
Students create branching outcomes for survival decisions, model compound and conditional probability, simulate results using Desmos, dice, or digital tools, and compare experimental vs. theoretical probabilities.

What’s Included:

  • Survival Simulation Student Guide
  • Teacher Guide with pacing, rubric, standards
  • Editable Rubric + Submission Deck

Skills:

  • Build tree diagrams and models
  • Apply compound and conditional probability
  • Compare theoretical vs. experimental results
  • Communicate findings through PSAs or infographics

Unsure? Try the free starter project that relates to this project. Perfect for sub days!

Keywords: probability project, compound probability lesson, conditional probability activity, survival math simulation, experimental vs theoretical probability, student ownership

Report this resource to TPT
Reported resources will be reviewed by our team. Report this resource to let us know if this resource violates TPT's content guidelines.

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Standards

to see state-specific standards (only available in the US).
Describe events as subsets of a sample space (the set of outcomes) using characteristics (or categories) of the outcomes, or as unions, intersections, or complements of other events (“or,” “and,” “not”).
Understand that two events 𝘈 and 𝘉 are independent if the probability of 𝘈 and 𝘉 occurring together is the product of their probabilities, and use this characterization to determine if they are independent.
Understand the conditional probability of 𝘈 given 𝘉 as 𝘗(𝘈 and 𝘉)/𝘗(𝘉), and interpret independence of 𝘈 and 𝘉 as saying that the conditional probability of 𝘈 given 𝘉 is the same as the probability of 𝘈, and the conditional probability of 𝘉 given 𝘈 is the same as the probability of 𝘉.
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